Back in March, myself, UberApe, and Snack Kween picked out which movies will rule the summer blockbuster battle royale or will be shuffled off the mortal coil into film obscurity. The fight for the all mighty dollar rages on, but here is an update on who has been right so far, and how badly we have gotten it wrong.
A quick recap of our top picks and the Wild Card (in no particular order):
|1||Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice||Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice||Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice|
|2||Captain America: Civil War||Captain America: Civil War||Captain America: Civil War|
|3||X-Men: Apocalypse||X-Men: Apocalypse||X-Men: Apocalypse|
|4||Finding Dory||Finding Dory||Finding Dory|
|5||The Jungle Book||The Jungle Book||The Jungle Book|
|6||Star Trek Beyond||Star Trek Beyond||Star Trek Beyond|
|7||Jason Bourne||Jason Bourne||Jason Bourne|
|8||Suicide Squad||Suicide Squad||Suicide Squad|
|10||The Magnificent Seven||Allegiant|
|WC||Keanu||10 Cloverfield Lane||The Huntsman: Winter’s War|
Our Picks for the Losers (in no particular order):
|2||Independence Day Resurgence||Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows||Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows|
|3||Angry Birds||Angry Birds||Angry Birds|
|4||Now You See Me 2||Now You See Me 2||Now You See Me 2|
|5||The Legend of Tarzan||The Magnificent Seven||Ghostbusters|
A fairly large chunk of the movies we picked for success was the same, with a couple of exceptions. We had some different opinions on who the losers would be.
But how are we doing so far? (Figures are from boxofficemojo.com)
|Box Office Ranking as of May||Film||Total Gross Since Release (Domestic)||Budget|
|1||Captain America: Civil War||$377,480,457||$250 Million|
|2||The Jungle Book||$362,940,368||$175 Million|
|4||Batman v Superman||$329,479,318||$250 Million|
|5||X-Men: Apocalypse||$79,810,133||$178 Million|
|6||Angry Birds||$72,214,264||$73 Million|
|7||10 Cloverfield Lane||$72,214,264||$15 Million|
|9||The Boss||$62,736,865||$29 Million|
|10||London Has Fallen||$62,506,916||$60 Million|
|11||Miracles from Heaven||$61,074,007||$13 Million|
|12||My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2||$59,689,605||$18 Million|
|13||Barbershop: The Next Cut||$53,309,119||$20 Million|
|14||The Huntsman: Winter’s War||$47,576,025||$115 Million|
|15||Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising||$40,467,555||$35 Million|
|16||Money Monster||$35,378,401||$27 Million|
|17||Alice Through the Looking Glass||$33,507,621||$170 Million|
|18||Mother’s Day||$32,182,620||$25 Million|
|19||The Nice Guys||$23,617,104||$50 Million|
It is no surprise that Captain America: Civil War is leading the pack. Was it even a thought in anyone’s mind that this movie would even come close to failure?
The Jungle Book has overtaken Zootopia as the higher grossing kid’s movie, but both have done very well in ticket sales. Angry Birds did a little better than I thought, but I don’t expect it to reach the same numbers the two Disney films have generated.
Batman v Superman didn’t add too much to the sales numbers since the last update, but it is still fairly solid for a movie that most are considering a failure.
X-Men: Apocalypse performed much lower than any of us expected, but ticket sales could still go up significantly over the next few weeks. Over the last couple of years, Memorial Day weekends have not been kind to the studios. Critical reviews haven’t been too generous to the latest entry of the Mutant based franchise (a 48% on Rotten Tomatoes), but fans have given the film an overall positive thumbs up which could drive more people to the theaters this weekend.
The summer has not been good to the comedies. Most of the comedic films are on the lower budget side (with the exception of The Nice Guys which could be considered more of an action film), so making the studio’s money back is not a big issue. The problem is summer comedies have done really well in the past.
Last year, Spy and Trainwreck took in well over $100 Million while Ted 2 and Paul Blart 2 had solid numbers (even though their predecessors were much more successful). Keanu is about done with only $20 Million in the bank (there goes my Wild Card). The Boss and Barbershop 3 have tapped out a little past the $50 Million mark. Neighbors 2 might add on to its tally (it has only been in theaters for a couple of weeks), but I don’t think it will hit the $100 Million point. This could mean disaster for Central Intelligence (June 17), Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates (July 8), Bad Moms (July 29), and Sausage Party (August 12).
To Sum up:
UberApe was the only person to get a Wild Card right (I thought people love Key and Peel and Snack Kween thought people still love dark fairy tales) even though 10 Cloverfield Lane didn’t hit the $100 Million mark, it is still wildly successful when you take into account the minimal marketing and small budget. Zootopia is a solid hit and Snack Kween was the only one to call it, but she was way off on Allegiant and The Huntsman. The jury is still out on X-Men: Apocalypse.
Still plenty of summer left as we enter June with some promising movies. The highly anticipated Finding Dory, the much hyped (but terrible looking) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and Independence Day sequels, and the video game adaptation Warcraft are hitting theaters this month among others. Will the Pixar sequel be the new animated box office champion? Can Independence Day: Resurgence live up to its predecessor? Will Warcraft break the video game adaptation curse? Let me know what you think in the comments section below.