Summer Blockbuster Update (June)

It is hard to believe we are nearly halfway thru the summer blockbuster season. It has been a little tricky this year when it comes to foreseeing the hits and misses. Several movies (maybe too many?) have come to play, but only a chosen few have made the big bucks (most of them belonging to one seemingly unstoppable conglomerate). So how have UberApe, Snack Kween, and I been doing with our predictions? Let’s find out!

Movie Collage

A quick recap of our top picks and the Wild Card (in no particular order):

Nerdling UberApe Snack Kween
1 Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice
2 Captain America: Civil War Captain America: Civil War Captain America: Civil War
3 X-Men: Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse
4 Finding Dory Finding Dory Finding Dory
5 The Jungle Book The Jungle Book The Jungle Book
6 Star Trek Beyond Star Trek Beyond Star Trek Beyond
7 Jason Bourne Jason Bourne Jason Bourne
8 Suicide Squad Suicide Squad Suicide Squad
9 Ghostbusters Ghostbusters Zootopia
10 The Magnificent Seven   Allegiant
WC Keanu 10 Cloverfield Lane The Huntsman: Winter’s War

 

Our Picks for the Losers (in no particular order):

Nerdling UberApe Snack Kween
1 Warcraft Central Intelligence Warcraft
2 Independence Day Resurgence Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows
3 Angry Birds Angry Birds Angry Birds
4 Now You See Me 2 Now You See Me 2 Now You See Me 2
5 The Legend of Tarzan The Magnificent Seven Ghostbusters

 

A fairly large chunk of the movies we picked for success was the same, with a couple of exceptions.  We had some different opinions on who the losers would be.

But how are we doing so far?

Box Office Ranking as of May Film Total Gross Since Release (Domestic) Budget
1 Captain America: Civil War $404,270,289 $250 Million
2 The Jungle Book $358,443,935 $175 Million
3 Zootopia $340,456,108 $150 Million
4 Batman v Superman $330,360,194 $250 Million
5 Finding Dory $311,166,968 $200 Million
6 X-Men: Apocalypse $151,962,569 $178 Million
7 Angry Birds $105,165,742 $73 Million
8 The Conjuring 2 $89,501,173 $40 Million
9 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 $78,063,580 $135 Million
10 Central Intelligence $74,812,707 $50 Million
11 Alice Through the Looking Glass $74,761,261 $170 Million
12 10 Cloverfield Lane $72,082,998 $15 Million
13 Allegiant $66,184,051 $110 Million
14 The Boss $63,077,560 $29 Million
15 London Has Fallen $62,524,260 $60 Million
16 Miracles from Heaven $61,561,170 $13 Million
17 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 $59,689,605 $18 Million
18 Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising $54,966,625 $35 Million
19 Now You See Me 2 $54,096,964 $90 Million
20 Barbershop: The Next Cut $53,309,368 $20 Million
21 Me Before You $52,152,534 $20 Million
22 Independence Day: Resurgence $49,867,200 $165 Million
23 The Huntsman: Winter’s War $48,003,015 $115 Million
24 Warcraft $44,750,070 $160 Million
25 Money Monster $40,545,182 $27 Million
26 The Nice Guys $35,105,463 $50 Million
27 Mother’s Day $32,492,859 $25 Million
28 The Shallows $22,096,016 $17 Million
29 Keanu $20,578,993 $15 Million
30 Free State of Jones $9,562,007 $50 Million
31 Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping $9,252,038 $20 Million
32 Hardcore Henry $9,252,038 $2 Million
33 Ratchet & Clank $8,821,329 $20 Million

 

Like I said, this summer has been fairly unpredictable.  There is a pretty sizable gap between number five and number six on the list interestingly enough.  Four of the top five belong to Disney properties.

Images Courtesy of Disney Films Entertainment

Images Courtesy of Disney Films Entertainment

Finding Dory has nearly doubled what X-Men: Apocalypse has done and it has only been in theaters just shy of three weeks.  All of us predicted the latest Pixar film to do well, but it is raking in the money easily topping its first two weekends.  With the upcoming holiday weekend, I’m sure it will add more green.  Will The BFG (a movie none of us had on either list) slow the progress?

I predicted IDR’s crash and burn at the box office (but weirdly enough I didn’t mind the unnecessary sequel), myself and Snack Kween knew Warcraft wasn’t going to cut it with US audiences (China is a whole ‘nother story, but we really are not going to get into global here), UberApe and Snack Kween correctly called TMNT 2’s lackluster reception (audiences hated the first and had no desire to give the second one a chance) and all of us saw Now You See Me 2 for the dud that it is (adding Harry Potter will not increase ticket sales).

UberApe misfired on Central Intelligence.  It wasn’t a blockbuster, but it made its budget back and then some.  For some movies released this summer, that is all they can really ask for.

The Conjuring 2 (which flew under all of our radars) is close to the $100 Million mark and has stayed in the top five for all three weeks of its theatrical run so far.  Its opening weekend profits fell just shy of The Conjuring’s, which is pretty fantastic when every sequel this summer hasn’t come close to the forerunner’s opening numbers (the exception of course is Civil War).

Image Courtesy of Warner Bros Pictures

Image Courtesy of Warner Bros Pictures

The romantic melodrama (based on a book I loved of the same name) Me Before You didn’t flood cineplexes with female audiences, but it did come in third its opening weekend and has gone on to more than doubled its budget.

Rounding out the successes in June is The Shallows whose release was perfectly planned out to be on the eve of the much beloved Shark Week.  Again the audiences didn’t flock to the seats, but made its very modest budget back and could still do well this weekend with those who wish to extend their Shark Week experience.

Free State of Jones was nothing short of a disaster with very mixed reviews and a dreadfully sad opening weekend.  The positive buzz around Popstar has not generated tickets sales, keeping with the new downward sales trend for this summer’s comedies.

Image Courtesy of Universal Pictures

Image Courtesy of Universal Pictures

July is right around the corner (tomorrow actually) and with it comes the family films The BFG (7/1), The Secret Life of Pets (7/8), and Ice Age: Collision Course (7/22).  More comedies arrive such as Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates (7/8), Ghostbusters (7/15), and Bad Moms (7/29) who aim to save the summer for funny films.  And the sequels keep on coming with The Purge: Election Year (7/1), Star Trek Beyond (7/22), and Jason Bourne (7/29).

Are there any movies in July you are excited to see?  Any you expect to fail at the box office?  Were you surprised by any of the flops or successes from June?  Talk to me in the comments section below.

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About Nerdling

The Nerdling has an unhealthy obsession with books, the Marvel Cinematic Universe, and Star Wars. She finds hockey to be the best sport in the world (Go Dallas Stars!) and is working on her first novel, but mostly glowers at a blank screen. You can find her on Twitter @nerdlingstale on Facebook @NerdlingTales or Instagram @nerdling_tales

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