Summer Blockbuster Update (July)

Another month in this hot, seemingly endless summer has come and gone. A few new movies have come to play in the battle royale for box office supreme. Some have flamed out, some have made their mark. But the real question is, how are myself, UberApe, and Snack Kween doing in our predictions? Let’s review our picks and get to it shall we?


Movie Collage

A quick recap of our top picks and the Wild Card (in no particular order):

Nerdling UberApe Snack Kween
1 Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice
2 Captain America: Civil War Captain America: Civil War Captain America: Civil War
3 X-Men: Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse
4 Finding Dory Finding Dory Finding Dory
5 The Jungle Book The Jungle Book The Jungle Book
6 Star Trek Beyond Star Trek Beyond Star Trek Beyond
7 Jason Bourne Jason Bourne Jason Bourne
8 Suicide Squad Suicide Squad Suicide Squad
9 Ghostbusters Ghostbusters Zootopia
10 The Magnificent Seven   Allegiant
WC Keanu 10 Cloverfield Lane The Huntsman: Winter’s War


Our Picks for the Losers (in no particular order):

Nerdling UberApe Snack Kween
1 Warcraft Central Intelligence Warcraft
2 Independence Day Resurgence Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows
3 Angry Birds Angry Birds Angry Birds
4 Now You See Me 2 Now You See Me 2 Now You See Me 2
5 The Legend of Tarzan The Magnificent Seven Ghostbusters


A fairly large chunk of the movies we picked for success was the same, with a couple of exceptions.  We had some different opinions on who the losers would be.

But how are we doing so far?

Box Office Ranking as of May Film Total Gross Since Release (Domestic) Budget
1 Finding Dory $469,012,930 $200 Million
2 Captain America: Civil War $406,939,223 $250 Million
3 The Jungle Book $362,228,909 $175 Million
4 Zootopia $341,265,194 $150 Million
5 Batman v Superman $330,360,194 $250 Million
6 The Secret Life of Pets $269,177,745 $75 Million
7 X-Men: Apocalypse $155,442,489 $178 Million
8 Central Intelligence $125,303,013 $50 Million
9 Legend of Tarzan $121,856,210 $180 Million
10 Angry Birds $106,688,585 $73 Million
11 Ghostbusters $106,171,471 $144 Million
12 Star Trek Beyond $105,720,378 $185 Million
13 Independence Day: Resurgence $101,950,640 $165 Million
14 The Conjuring 2 $101,947,824 $40 Million
15 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 $81,356,022 $135 Million
16 The Purge: Election Year $78,356,070 $10 Million
17 Alice Through the Looking Glass $76,635,747 $170 Million
18 10 Cloverfield Lane $72,082,998 $15 Million
19 Allegiant $66,184,051 $110 Million
20 Now You See Me 2 $64,557,015 $90 Million
21 The Boss $63,077,560 $29 Million
22 London Has Fallen $62,524,260 $60 Million
23 Miracles from Heaven $61,561,170 $13 Million
24 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 $59,689,605 $18 Million
25 Jason Bourne $59,215,365 $120 Million
26 Me Before You $55,901,145 $20 Million
27 Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising $55,340,730 $35 Million
28 Barbershop: The Next Cut $54,030,051 $20 Million
29 The Shallows $53,945,654 $17 Million
30 The BFG $52,104,285 $140 Million
31 The Huntsman: Winter’s War $48,003,015 $115 Million
32 Warcraft $47,225,655 $160 Million
33 Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates $43,987,12 $33 Million
34 Lights Out $42,877,032 $4.9 Million
35 Ice Age: Collision Course $42,109,623 $105 Million
36 Money Monster $40,993,101 $27 Million
37 The Nice Guys $36,255,006 $50 Million
38 Mother’s Day $32,492,859 $25 Million
39 Bad Moms $23,400,000 $20 Million
40 Free State of Jones $20,810,036 $50 Million
41 Keanu $20,591,853 $15 Million
42 Nerve $15,051,287 $20 Million
43 Criminal $14,708,696 $31.5 Million
44 Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping $9,496,130 $20 Million
45 Hardcore Henry $9,252,038 $2 Million
46 Ratchet & Clank $8,821,329 $20 Million


Image Courtesy of Buena Vista Entertainment

Image Courtesy of Buena Vista Entertainment

Finding Dory has been crowned Summer Box Office Champion.  I’m calling it now.  Yes, there is August and September to get thru, but do you really think any movie will come close to the numbers the Pixar powerhouse just produced?  I’m predicting it will remain at the top of the Box Office chart until Rogue One comes to dethrone it in December.  Of course Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them may get there first.

Getting to the big movies released in July, the clear winner for the month was The Secret Life of Pets more than tripling its fairly minor (well, minor for these types of films) budget in roughly three weeks and its total so far is less than $100 Million from the next highest grossing animated film of the year, Zootopia.  This one kind of flew under the radar for the three of us and not because we didn’t think it would do well.  We felt there were more guaranteed blockbusters ahead of it like X-Men: Apocalypse (which has not lived up to what we and 20th Century Fox were hoping) and Ghostbusters.

Speaking of the all-female reboot of a classic…  Ghostbusters had a modest enough opening, coming in second at the box office the first weekend of its release with $46 Million.  Decent reviews from critics and good word of mouth from many movie goers was not enough to gain more monetary love for this horror/comedy.  Too many sexists people willing to hate on a film they hadn’t seen most certainly hurt the chances for this film to do more than break even with its budget.  Snack Kween called it.  Ghostbusters is heading into flop territory.

Image Courtesy Sony Entertainment

Image Courtesy Sony Entertainment

Speaking of flop territory…  The BFG came and went with barely a bump on the meter.  The film based on the popular children’s book of the same name was given high praise by critics, but the name Steven Spielberg doesn’t garner what it used to.  Somewhere in there, the latest (and hopefully final) Ice Age entry was released.  No one cared.  The Legend of Tarzan didn’t take as big of a bath as I predicted it might, but it fell short of making its budget back in four weeks and probably will not add more green to its box office gain.  This past weekend only saw it bringing in $2.5 Million.  Tarzan sits in the top ten for now, but I expect next month will see Jason Bourne and Star Trek Beyond (along with a few others) taking the jungle man down a few spaces.

Speaking of Star Trek… So far the third movie in the series reboot has not done as well as its predecessors.  In its opening weekend, Beyond made $59 Million.  The first Star Trek reboot made $75 Million while Into Darkness brought in $70 Million.  The second weekend saw the film coming in second to Jason Bourne.  This one is looking as if it may do a little better than its budget and the announced fourth entry to the series will see a notably less expenditure than Beyond’s $185 Million. (Another one all three of us were wrong on)

Speaking of Jason Bourne (don’t you just love my lazy transitions today)… The fourth entry to the successful spy films had the second largest opening for the series.  What could keep the latest Bourne movie from continuing a high run at the box office is it is the lowest rated film of the four (no one counts The Bourne Legacy), sitting at a 56% on Rotten Tomatoes with critics and 68% with movie goers.  The previous three Bourne films were in the high 80s or 90s on the tomatometer.  All three of us saw Jason Bourne as a big box office success, fingers crossed this one keeps going.

Female driven comedy Bad Moms did about as well as predicted making just under $25 Million its first weekend out, good word of mouth may give this smaller film a nice boost.  Mike and Dave has had a satisfactory run in the month of July, but it is showing signs of fading out.  So far comedies have not been faring too well at the box office with the exception of Central Intelligence (a movie UberApe predicted would fail) and The Boss.

Images Courtesy of Columbia Pictures, Universal Pictures, & Warner Bros

Images Courtesy of Columbia Pictures, Universal Pictures, & Warner Bros

While they haven’t even come close to cracking the $100 Million mark, The Purge: Election Year, The Shallows, and Lights Out have been some of the most successful movies of July due to modest budgets and word of mouth marketing.  The Shallows more than tripled its budget, the third Purge movie made nearly eight times what it cost to film, and Lights Out has lapped its budget 8.5 times.

August is finally here and with it comes the highly anticipated Suicide Squad (8/5), the latest live action Disney movie remake Pete’s Dragon (8/12), the Rated-R animated comedy Sausage Party (8/12), the Ben Hur remake (8/19), and the sequel to 2011’s The Mechanic, Mechanic: Resurrection (8/26).

What movies will reign supreme in August?  What movies did you think would do well but didn’t in July?  Talk to me in the comments section below.

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About Nerdling

The Nerdling has an unhealthy obsession with books, the Marvel Cinematic Universe, and Star Wars. She finds hockey to be the best sport in the world (Go Dallas Stars!) and is working on her first novel, but mostly glowers at a blank screen. You can find her on Twitter @nerdlingstale on Facebook @NerdlingTales or Instagram @nerdling_tales

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